3rd Nor’easter In 10 Days Likely To Hit East Coast Early Next Week
Computer models that meteorologists use to predict our weather and storms are split on this Nor'easter. ABC News reports "most models agree there is going to be a storm system moving through the South with severe storms Saturday into Sunday along the Gulf Coast from Arkansas to Florida. These storms could produce damaging winds, some hail and we cannot rule out tornadoes."
The European model shows a weak system bringing rain along the coast of the Carolinas with little to no impact in Central New York.
From the National Weather Service /LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Sunday through Monday night:
As a mid-level trough continues to move eastward through New England an area of high pressure will build eastward into our region. This will bring a mix of sun and clouds to the region. Highs still look to only reach into the 30`s given the continued north- northwest flow into the region on Sunday. Attention turns to a developing low pressure system across the southeast United States by late Sunday. The departing mid-level trough over New England currently looks to set-up confluence and keep the storm track south of our region. This has been fairly consistent for the past several model cycles. However, it should be noted if the trough moves out faster than modeled that would allow the storm to track further north which showed up on the 3/9 00z GFS that brings some light snow to the Poconos
on Monday. Support in a further northward solution is still
present from some ensemble members keeping this forecast period somewhat uncertain. The timing of this storm threat also may be delayed into later periods if the 00z ECMWF solution were to pan out. Even with the main low tracking offshore, west to northwesterly winds will start up again with the potential for moisture advection off the lakes. Temperatures still look seasonably cool in the 20`s and 30`s. The forecast will continue to focus on the back end snow shower chances keeping any moisture from the
main low south of the region.
Three winter storms in 10 days is the type of weather we expect in January and February, but unfortunately, we have to deal with it in March. Oh well, it will make Spring all that much sweeter right?